Thursday, September 01, 2005
Deja Vu All Over Again (Part II)
Today George W. Bush said the following:
Unfortunately for him, someone did anticipate it and it was his very own Federal Emergency Management Agency. Back in December of 2001, New Orleans was considered one of the "three likeliest, most castastrophic disasters facing this country." And the levees were of major concern as this article from the Houston Chronicle points out.
Pretty prophetic, huh? They even make reference to the town being under twenty feet of water and survivors being evacuated to Houston.
But this type of statement is par for the course with the Bush administration. When something you've ignored develops into a disaster, claim that it couldn't have been forseen. It reminds me of a certain PDB from about four years ago.
Is there any doubt left? This is clearly an incompetent administration.
- "I don't think anybody anticipated the breach of the levees."
Unfortunately for him, someone did anticipate it and it was his very own Federal Emergency Management Agency. Back in December of 2001, New Orleans was considered one of the "three likeliest, most castastrophic disasters facing this country." And the levees were of major concern as this article from the Houston Chronicle points out.
- Hurricane season ended Friday, and for the second straight year no hurricanes hit the United States. But the season nonetheless continued a long-term trend of more active seasons, forecasters said. Tropical Storm Allison became this country's most destructive tropical storm ever.
Yet despite the damage Allison wrought upon Houston, dropping more than 3 feet of water in some areas, a few days later much of the city returned to normal as bloated bayous drained into the Gulf of Mexico.
The same storm dumped a mere 5 inches on New Orleans, nearly overwhelming the city's pump system. If an Allison-type storm were to strike New Orleans, or a Category 3 storm or greater with at least 111 mph winds, the results would be cataclysmic, New Orleans planners said.
"Any significant water that comes into this city is a dangerous threat," Walter Maestri, Jefferson Parish emergency management director, told Scientific American for an October article.
"Even though I have to plan for it, I don't even want to think about the loss of life a huge hurricane would cause."
New Orleans is essentially a bowl ringed by levees that protect the city from the Mississippi River to its south and Lake Pontchartrain to the north. The bottom of the bowl is 14 feet below sea level, and efforts to keep it dry are only digging a deeper hole.
During routine rainfalls the city's dozens of pumps push water uphill into the lake. This, in turn, draws water from the ground, further drying the ground and sinking it deeper, a problem known as subsidence.
This problem also faces Houston as water wells have sucked the ground dry. Houston's solution is a plan to convert to surface drinking water. For New Orleans, eliminating pumping during a rainfall is not an option, so the city continues to sink.
A big storm, scientists said, would likely block four of five evacuation routes long before it hit. Those left behind would have no power or transportation, and little food or medicine, and no prospects for a return to normal any time soon.
"The bowl would be full," Levitan said. "There's simply no place for the water to drain."
Estimates for pumping the city dry after a huge storm vary from six to 16 weeks. Hundreds of thousands would be homeless, their residences destroyed.
Pretty prophetic, huh? They even make reference to the town being under twenty feet of water and survivors being evacuated to Houston.
But this type of statement is par for the course with the Bush administration. When something you've ignored develops into a disaster, claim that it couldn't have been forseen. It reminds me of a certain PDB from about four years ago.
Is there any doubt left? This is clearly an incompetent administration.